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What are the percentages? The favorites and longshots to win NASCAR at Las Vegas
NASCAR

What are the percentages? The favorites and longshots to win NASCAR at Las Vegas

By Miles Cooper October 30, 2024
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NASCAR has graced the tarmac of Las Vegas Motor Speedway since 1998 with Mark Martin successful the inaugural occasion. Lately, Chevrolet’s been a dominant power, gathering six of the final eight victories, with Hendrick Motorsports successful three straight — so the drivers with the bottom odds should not actually come as a shock.

Main the way in which is Kyle Larson at +300. Even earlier than betting odds, the motive force of the No. 5 is the clear favourite. He is received the final two Cup races at Las Vegas and at present sits atop the playoff standings after the reset.  In 12 begins, he holds the most effective common end amongst lively drivers at 9.3, together with three checkered flags.

What are the percentages? The favorites and longshots to win NASCAR at Las Vegas

Race winner Kyle Larson, Hendrick Motorsports, HendrickCars.com Chevrolet Camaro

Picture by: John Harrelson / NKP / Motorsport Photos

Proper behind Larson is one other Hendrick driver — this yr’s Daytona 500 victor William Byron at +750. Then there’s Christopher Bell, who has by no means received a Cup race at Vegas, however he was a single automotive size away from altering that reality in final fall’s dramatic end. With how robust he has persistently been all through the playoffs, it makes loads of sense for him to be close to the highest of the betting sheet at +800.

Denny Hamlin at +850 and Tyler Reddick at +900 are additionally strong selections for the win on Sunday. 2022 Vegas winner Joey Logano is at +1000 who’s dealing with an unlikely second probability within the playoffs following Alex Bowman’s shock DQ. A 3-time winner on the 1.5-mile oval, Logano managed to parlay his 2022 victory into the championship, noting then that successful the opening race of the Spherical of 8 helped the group to raised focus all efforts in direction of the title-decider within the weeks that adopted. He confirmed simply how necessary successful this race chilly be for the eight remaining title hopefuls of their quest to grow to be the 2024 NASCAR Cup Collection champion.

Joey Logano, Team Penske, Pennzoil Ford Mustang wins.

Joey Logano, Crew Penske, Pennzoil Ford Mustang wins.

Picture by: Rusty Jarrett / NKP / Motorsport Photos

The playoff drivers with the worst odds getting into Vegas are defending collection champion Ryan Blaney at +1100 and Chase Elliott at +1200. Neither driver has ever received at LVMS, and each are in want of factors as they enter this spherical beneath the cut-line. Chasing stage factors will make it more durable for them to go all-out for the win, with Logano dealing with an identical predicament. 

However what concerning the spoilers? Non-playoff drivers have received three of the primary six races within the postseason, and that development might positively proceed this weekend. Las Vegas native Kyle Busch leads this group at +1400. He has received at his dwelling observe, however that was 15 years in the past. Richard Childress Racing has additionally struggled this yr, however they’ve seen a current seen an uptick in efficiency. Only a couple weeks in the past at Kansas — one other intermediate observe — Busch was in competition for the win win earlier than spinning from the lead with simply over 30 laps to go.

The driving force who ended up successful that Kansas race as an alternative can be wager for a potential spoiler on Sunday. At +1600, Ross Chastain has 4 top-fives within the final 5 Cup races at Vegas, and was on the entrance row for the ultimate restart earlier this yr. He ended up fourth, however with older left-side tires than all of these round him, one has to surprise how robust he might have been on equal floor.

Kyle Busch, No. 8 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet Camaro; Ross Chastain, No. 1 Trackhouse Racing, Kubota Chevrolet Camaro

Kyle Busch, No. 8 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet Camaro; Ross Chastain, No. 1 Trackhouse Racing, Kubota Chevrolet Camaro

Picture by: Nigel Kinrade / NKP / Motorsport Photos

Now, what concerning the drivers who made the playoffs, however have since been eradicated? There’s some very quick drivers amongst that group, together with Martin Truex Jr. The soon-to-be (partially) retired Joe Gibbs Racing driver is at +1400, nonetheless remaining winless this yr. He’s at all times a menace at Las Vegas the place he has two Cup wins there. Maybe extra impressively, he enters Vegas with eight straight top-ten finishes.

lengthy pictures, there are a pair strong choices for the actual gamblers on the market. After scoring extra factors than any driver within the opening spherical, Bowman’s playoffs got here to an abrupt finish when he was disqualified after failing inspection final weekend. That does not change the truth that the No. 48 has been very quick, and with out having to fret about gathering factors, he may very well be an actual menace regardless of his +2800 odds. He’s additionally a former race winner at Las Vegas, successful the 2022 spring race.

At +3000 odds, there may be the prone to be ignored Brad Keselowski. He, together with Larson and Logano, are the one lively drivers with three wins on the observe. Sure, all of Keselowski’s wins got here between 2014 and 2018, however he was a contender in final fall’s race too, ending fourth after 38 laps within the No. 6 RFK Racing Ford.

Here is a take a look at how your entire discipline stacks up for the NASCAR Cup race at Las Vegas, per the oddsmakers:

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