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F1 2025 season predictions: Who will win, Hamilton vs Leclerc and the most important shock?
Formula 1

F1 2025 season predictions: Who will win, Hamilton vs Leclerc and the most important shock?

By Miles Cooper March 4, 2025
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Roll up, roll up – it’s pre-season predictions time!

The 2025 season has all of the foundations to be one of the vital action-packed within the sport’s 75-year historical past, with a title race set to be extraordinarily shut and ’s transfer to sure to draw to the game.

is the favorite, given McLaren’s final 12 months, with four-time world champion his closest contender, chasing a fifth title in a row.

There are additionally six new full-time rookies on the beginning grid, together with British teenager Ollie Bearman – who impressed on debut for Ferrari – and Hamilton’s substitute at Mercedes, 18-year-old Italian hotshot Kimi Antonelli.

Lower than two weeks out from the season-opener in Melbourne, these are the predictions for 2025:

World champion – Lando Norris

Earlier than testing, I used to be inclined to go together with Charles Leclerc, on the idea that Ferrari may have closed the marginal hole to McLaren within the low season. However in Bahrain have modified that.

McLaren’s standout race-pace final week, with Norris on the helm of their 2025 MCL39 automotive, was the principle on-track headline. Regardless of a tightly congested high 4, McLaren are clearly the frontrunners forward of the brand new marketing campaign.

This 12 months ought to see a restricted variety of race-by-race automotive developments, as all 10 groups look to divide sources between the present marketing campaign and new engine and chassis rules in 2026. Race 9, in Spain, might be a turning level, when the FIA’s new directive on flexi-wings comes into impact, when groups will face stricter limitations on the pliability of their wings.

Nonetheless, it provides whoever has a bonus initially a large alternative to make hay whereas the solar shines. And it provides Norris what may maybe be a once-in-a-lifetime alternative.

There’s a faculty of thought that Oscar Piastri may problem him strongly this 12 months and the Australian will little doubt be eyeing an enchancment in qualifying to pose a real menace over the course of 24 races.

But Norris is their standout driver. He wants to enhance – – however the Briton does have the standard to turn out to be a world champion. As he has acknowledged, if he’s armed with the quickest automotive, there could be “no excuses” this time round.

F1 2025 season predictions: Who will win, Hamilton vs Leclerc and the most important shock?

Constructors’ champions – McLaren

Whereas there was little to decide on between Ferrari, Pink Bull and Mercedes in testing, McLaren have been the clear winners. Their 2024 constructors’ title – as they broke a 26-year duck – makes the papaya favourites this 12 months and testing did nothing to dispel that.

Led by chief designer Rob Marshall (previously of Pink Bull), McLaren have cracked the code of this ground-effect period of rules. The large query is: have they discovered their lesson from a fractious intra-team coverage final 12 months?

Will Norris and Piastri ? McLaren and Ferrari, with two of the strongest driver pairings on the grid, can ill-afford for his or her drivers to take factors off each other, with clear lead drivers in Verstappen and George Russell at Pink Bull and Mercedes.

However the indicators are that, not less than early on, McLaren may have the quickest automotive.

Constructors’ wood spoon – Sauber

It was a torrid 2024 season for Sauber.

In 24 races, the crew scored simply 4 factors. Valtteri Bottas, the ex-Mercedes race winner, didn’t register a high 10 end. Each the Finn and Zhou Guanyu have been dropped on the finish of the season.

The signings of skilled German driver Nico Hulkenberg and Components Two champion Gabriel Bortoleto current a stable lineup. However testing nonetheless noticed them nicely off the tempo. They are going to do nicely to keep away from ending final once more in 2025

Audi may have one hell of a job on once they take over for 2026.

Who finishes greater out of Hamilton or Leclerc at Ferrari?

Will the performances match the hype? That’s the large query forward for Hamilton.

Regardless of the joy on the , the 40-year-old comes into this season after his worst-ever championship place of seventh. He additionally endured a torrid , shedding 19-5 to Russell at Mercedes.

That will probably be firmly in his thoughts as he takes on arguably F1’s quickest driver over one lap. Leclerc has 26 pole positions however simply eight race wins – the next conversion fee will probably be on his thoughts this 12 months.

General, I again Leclerc to complete greater – and be Norris’s closest challenger.

Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc will drive for Ferrari in 2025 (Scuderia Ferrari)

Largest shock: Carlos Sainz will win a grand prix

Who’s the one driver, aside from Max Verstappen, to win a race in every of the final three years? F1’s so-called “clean operator”.

The unluckiest man on the grid, Sainz was pressured to chop quick his Ferrari world championship dream after Hamilton’s transfer. The Spaniard has taken the long-term possibility at Williams, persuaded by James Vowles’s .

But Williams regarded surprisingly fast in testing, regardless of all sights set on 2026. Sainz topped the timesheets on day two and set the quickest lap throughout all three days.

It’ll want a moist race. It’ll want retirements. However ought to he be introduced with a possibility on the entrance, Sainz has proved he can capitalise. He oozes composure.

It could be additional particular, too, given Williams haven’t gained an F1 race since Pastor Maldonado’s victory in Spain 13 years in the past. And undoubtedly one of many tales of the season.

Carlos Sainz has moved to Williams for 2025 (Getty Images)

Greatest rookie – Kimi Antonelli

For sake of readability, I see there being six full-time rookies this 12 months: Antonelli at Mercedes, Isack Hadjar at Racing Bulls, Gabriel Bortoleto at Sauber, Jack Doohan at Alpine, Ollie Bearman at Haas and Liam Lawson at Pink Bull.

The latter two are included, regardless of three and 11 race begins respectively, given it’s their first full-time seat within the sport.

By way of pure tempo, Antonelli impressed in testing. Toto Wolff disregarded the likes of Sainz and Fernando Alonso to advertise the highly-rated Italian, who he sees as the game’s subsequent Max Verstappen. His junior report is terrific, too, and he’ll be wholesome competitors for George Russell on the Silver Arrows.

Kimi Antonelli has been promoted to a Mercedes race seat by Toto Wolff (Getty Images)

Greatest race – Brazil

I mentioned Silverstone final 12 months – and it was among the best with Hamilton’s – however for level of distinction, I’ll go together with Brazil this 12 months.

It’s a secure guess. Come rain or shine, Interlagos not often disappoints.

Who would be the new drivers on the grid in 2026?

Franco Colapinto, if it hasn’t occurred already at Alpine, with Doohan’s spot already wanting beneath stress even earlier than the season begins.

Aside from that, all different groups look fairly full for 2026, with two-year contracts aplenty. One punt might be British teen Arvid Lindblad – a member of Pink Bull’s junior crew – ought to Yuki Tsunoda or Hadjar be moved on at Racing Bulls.

As for Cadillac’s potential 2026 entry? See under.

Franco Colapinto is a reserve driver at Alpine for 2025 (Getty Images)

Who will drive for Cadillac in 2026?

Going by the remit of 1 skilled driver and one beginner, I’m going to go for Valtteri Bottas and Colton Herta.

A lot to the shock of many, Bottas has opted to remain inside the F1 paddock this 12 months as a Mercedes reserve as a substitute of driving off into the sunshine. That speaks volumes about , regardless of his first season with no race seat in 12 years.

As for IndyCar star Herta, I feel Cadillac will in the end look to select an American driver. Herta was near a transfer to RB a couple of years in the past, having impressed in a personal take a look at for McLaren. He seems to be the best-placed American to make the swap throughout the pond.

Colton Herta is a contender to land an F1 seat at Cadillac in 2026 (Getty Images)

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