Who will win the drivers’ championship?
Lando Norris. We are able to solely go on what we’ve got seen thus far and McLaren appeared strongest in testing. I’m backing Norris to slay his demons from final season and recover from the road this time – a superb begin is crucial although.
Norris. The 25-year-old appears to be like each inch a world champion in ready. For all that he struggled to impose himself in final season’s title battle with Max Verstappen – his travails no much less stark than when his pole place in Brazil proved solely a preface to the Dutchman successful from seventeenth – there isn’t a doubting the prevalence of his automotive this time. McLaren have been the excellent performers at testing final month in Bahrain, and Norris’s personal mettle may be formidable. Simply have a look at the poise with which he grasped victory in Abu Dhabi to grab a primary constructors’ title for his workforce since 1998. That is his second to disclaim Verstappen a fifth consecutive crown, even when his team-mate Oscar Piastri threatens to run him shut.
Norris. I’m not certain whether or not this looks like sticking my neck out. McLaren are prone to have the very best all-round automotive once more and Norris has the flexibility to take advantage of that. He failed to do this as a lot as he ought to final 12 months, however I believe these many classes will serve him effectively. As will his excellent one-lap tempo.
The query is the place the problem would possibly come from. In a decent battle with Verstappen I might again the Crimson Bull driver however there’s a good likelihood Crimson Bull start the season in harm limitation mode.
In brief: I believe the McLaren might be ok and each the workforce and Norris improved sufficient from 2024 to get themselves over the road. However there’s a lengthy, unsure season forward the place some groups would possibly look devastatingly fast on some layouts however lag behind on others.
If Ferrari are in a position to ship a automotive which might at the very least problem McLaren then Lewis Hamilton’s expertise must be sufficient to hold him to an eighth world title. McLaren may have the faster automotive however their greatest battle might be from inside as Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri will take factors off one another.
What concerning the constructors’ championship?
TC McLaren. On the identical foundation. Oscar Piastri isn’t any slouch and lots of imagine he’ll give Norris a run for his cash this 12 months. The mixture ought to show an excessive amount of for the remaining if they’ve the quickest automotive, supplied they don’t play foolish buggers.
OB McLaren. With a robust begin in Melbourne and Shanghai, the reigning champions ought to construct an unassailable platform for a profitable title defence. The bottom line is within the energy of the driving force pairing. Whereas even the consummate Verstappen couldn’t safe the constructors’ prize for Crimson Bull, due to Sergio Pérez’s deficiencies within the second automotive, Norris and Piastri complemented one another fantastically in 2024, with 374 and 292 factors respectively. Now, due to Zak Brown’s shrewd technical hires, they’re on a path, probably, to domination.
LS McLaren. Although Ferrari can boast the very best driver line-up, McLaren’s is second-best of the highest 4 groups and never by a lot. Crucially, additionally they appear to have a greater understanding of their automotive than their rivals. That mentioned, it was not precisely plain crusing operationally and strategically on the way in which to their first constructors’ title in 25 years final season.
McLaren, like Norris, may have learnt from the trials and errors of their first constructors’ championship final 12 months. By the top of the season they appeared extra comfy of their new-found place. I count on that to proceed in 2025 but in addition that they are going to be pushed and examined.
FC McLaren. With Piastri operating Norris shut, it’s onerous to see previous the quickest automotive on the grid with a robust driver pairing. They completed final season robust and, so long as the racing between the pair stays clear, I can see them lining up as the primary storage once more subsequent 12 months.
Will Lewis Hamilton beat Charles Leclerc at Ferrari and can he win a race?
TC Sure and sure. Once more, this can be a leap of religion as we haven’t but seen Hamilton’s qualifying tempo in a Ferrari. Leclerc is severely fast over one lap and there are legitimate questions over Hamilton’s qualifying after final 12 months. However based mostly on his long-run tempo, and the truth that Leclerc has a mistake in him, I’m backing Hamilton to construct on the feel-good issue and ship in crimson.
OB No, I can not see Hamilton surpassing Leclerc over 24 races, purely due to the Monegasque’s blistering one-lap tempo. The place Hamilton was out-qualified 18-6 by George Russell at Mercedes final 12 months, Leclerc managed three pole positions regardless of Ferrari’s struggles. However Hamilton, as he proved together with his ninth Silverstone triumph, can nonetheless shine on Sundays – particularly given Leclerc’s report in successful from pole simply 5 occasions out of 26, among the many worst conversion charges in F1 historical past.
LS Final season was most likely Leclerc’s greatest in F1. It was actually his most constant. Even when Hamilton does effectively he might not beat Leclerc, who’s as fast as anybody on the grid over one lap.
Leclerc is getting into his seventh season with Ferrari and is completely comfy throughout the workforce. Hamilton should regulate and that can take time. I might count on it to be aggressive between the pair – and I believe Hamilton will win at the very least one race – however I believe Leclerc might be on prime.
FC Given my neck is on the road with Hamilton successful the championship, my reply to each of those questions is clear. Leclerc’s qualifying tempo is phenomenal so it is going to be no shock to see him lead this class however Hamilton’s race tempo might be far superior. So, sure.
Shock story of the season?
TC Russell. Mercedes have been quietly spectacular in Bahrain. Whether or not that was because of the unseasonably chilly temperatures or not, Russell may very well be a menace if he’s acquired a automotive able to successful races. He confirmed he was up for the combat on the finish of final season, and whereas Kimi Antonelli is fast, he would count on to have the measure of his rookie team-mate.
OB Ollie Bearman. {The teenager} was excellent in his response to the strain of being Ferrari’s youngest ever driver, ending seventh in final 12 months’s Saudi Arabian Grand Prix after Carlos Sainz’s withdrawal with appendicitis. His early performances for Haas additionally augured effectively, as he beat veteran Nico Hulkenberg en route to a different factors end in Azerbaijan. Now elevated to a everlasting Haas seat alongside Esteban Ocon, the Englishman is well-placed to capitalise on the workforce’s Toyota-funded technical advances.
LS Max Verstappen to announce his departure from Crimson Bull earlier than the summer time break. Verstappen is the defending drivers’ champion, sure, however an enormous issue within the consolation of his fourth title was the buffer he constructed up early on. Within the closing 14 races, he gained solely two of them and repeatedly voiced his criticism.
He will definitely get probably the most from no matter Crimson Bull offers him however that has a restrict. If meaning he’s now not in a position to combat for victories and the title, which can be clear early on, he might name time on his Crimson Bull profession. The background troubles and departures over the past 12 months make this extra doubtless.
FC Williams are on an upwards trajectory however will they ever attain the heights of the Frank Williams period once more? Pastor Maldonado’s shock victory on the 2012 Spanish GP was the final time they gained a race however with a line-up consisting of four-time race winner Carloz Sainz and Alex Albon, they need to be best-placed to capitalise when the massive groups falter and finish their 13-year wait to face highest on a podium.
Disappointment of the season?
TC Flavio Briatore to fireside Jack Doohan after a handful of races, to get the Franco Colapinto money. Or possibly Williams. A lot discuss them being better of the remaining. And what a line-up with Sainz and Albon. I actually hope I’m unsuitable on that.
OB Aston Martin. A lot expectation has greeted the arrival of Adrian Newey as technical director and co-owner, however the “man who can see air” can not work miracles in a single day. Aston have flattered to deceive over the previous two seasons, discovering themselves marooned between the highest 4 groups and the underside 5. Progress at Williams threatens an extra decline in that rating. Plus, I’m not satisfied by the driving force pairing: Fernando Alonso has had his day at nearly 44, and Lance Stroll owes his survival at this stage solely to his father Lawrence’s patronage.
LS Sauber. How can the workforce who completed tenth and final in 2024 be any extra of a disappointment than final 12 months? Nicely, allow us to not neglect that subsequent 12 months they’ll develop into the Audi works workforce in title (as they’re on paper now). There are few indicators of enchancment that must be anticipated from them by now, although – on the monitor or off it.
Their pre-season appeared wretched in some ways and, although they ended the season (comparatively) strongly, this 12 months they may discover themselves lower even additional adrift on the very again.
FC Mercedes to wrestle… once more. The jury continues to be out on whether or not Russell can lead a workforce, or a successful automotive, to a championship. Hamilton’s intuition was that he could be higher suited elsewhere and Toto Wolff has put lots on the road by trusting an 18-year-old Kimi Antonelli to exchange him. Whether or not it’s the automotive or the drivers not being as much as scratch, the blame might be on him.
And can Liam Lawson see out the season?
TC Sure. Not a straightforward gig for the Kiwi, notably if the Crimson Bull misbehaves. Verstappen has seen off so many team-mates. However Lawson appears to be like as if he’s manufactured from robust stuff.
OB Sure. Crimson Bull have dialled down their infamous ruthlessness, which introduced mid-season demotions to Toro Rosso for Daniil Kvyat in 2016 and Pierre Gasly in 2019. Final 12 months, they confirmed stunning clemency to Pérez regardless of the Mexican’s dismal type. Though he nonetheless lacks race craft, Lawson has the pure belligerence to justify his place as Verstappen’s team-mate.
LS It will be an amazing achievement if he did, however I can not see it. The New Zealander has simply 11 races underneath his belt and none of them at a front-running workforce. Drivers with much better data than which have been destroyed by Verstappen at Crimson Bull.
The workforce clearly see one thing in Lawson – his aggression and no-nonsense driving fashion maybe – but when the RB21 is as problematic as its predecessor then Lawson may have issues. Verstappen has the ability, expertise, data and expertise to drive his means round them. Lawson doesn’t but.
FC I think Crimson Bull may have a troublesome season this 12 months and switch into an absolute circus once more. Verstappen’s whines over the radio will develop into more and more louder with each race and I can see the Dutchman probably strolling out of the workforce mid-season if his championship hopes are in tatters. If Lawson does the naked minimal and doesn’t attempt to tackle Verstappen, the highlight on the workforce’s turmoil might play into his fingers.
Prime three
TC 1 Lando Norris 2 Lewis Hamilton 3 Oscar Piastri
OB 1 Lando Norris 2 Oscar Piastri 3 Charles Leclerc
LS 1 Lando Norris 2 Charles Leclerc 3 Max Verstappen
FC 1 Lewis Hamilton 2 Lando Norris 3 Oscar Piastri